Liberals Remain in Front

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Nationally, the Liberals currently hold a ten-point lead over the Conservatives. They stand at 36%, compared to 26% for the Conservatives, 23% for the NDP, 7% for the Greens and 7% for the BQ. While a ten-point lead is a high-water mark for the Liberals since Mr. Trudeau became leader, the Liberals have held a consistent lead for some time. Since September, the Liberals have held a lead of at least seven points over the Conservatives in all but one of Harris/Decima’s waves of two-week tracking.

  • The Liberals have an eleven-point lead in Quebec. Here, they stand at 37%, to 26% for the BQ, 22% for the NDP, 9% for the Conservatives, and 6% for the Greens.
  • In Ontario, the Liberals stand at 39%, the Conservatives 30%, the NDP 20%, and the Greens 8%.
  • In BC, the NDP stands at 32%, the Liberals 31%, the Conservatives 24%, and the Greens 11%.
  • In Alberta, the Conservatives are at 54%, the Liberals 22%, the NDP 19%, and the Greens 4%.
  • In Manitoba and Saskatchewan, the Liberals stand at 37%, the Conservatives 32%, the NDP 23%, and the Greens 6%.
  • In Atlantic Canada, the Liberals stand at 40%, the NDP 32%, the Conservatives 24%, and the Greens 4%.

Data was collected using computer assisted telephone interviewing (CATI) via the Harris/Decima teleVox omnibus. Overall, 2,034 completes were collected nationally between November 14 and November 25, 2013. The sample consists of 80% landline and 20% cell phone respondents, with quotas by gender (50/50 split) and by region. The data is weighted in tabulation to replicate actual population distribution by age and gender within region according to the 2011 Census data. This survey is considered accurate to a margin of plus or minus 2.2 per cent, 19 times out of 20.